Brief: home-security

Research brief for home-security · how it was made.

Research brief — home-security

FieldValue
Slughome-security
Primary query / seo_intentWhere Home Break-In Risk Actually Concentrates
Template (A–E)C
Evidence tier (1–3)1 (FBI/BJS) + 2 (offender survey + walkthrough protocol)
Public byline8020.in Editorial
ReviewerPractitioner / safety editor pass
Date2026-07-20

1. Concentration claim

In home burglary risk, most easy wins for offenders — and most high-leverage defenses — concentrate in a few bottlenecks: unlocked/soft entry, door hardware and approach, first-floor openings, occupancy signals when away, and visible alarm/camera cues — not in equal gadget shopping across every room.

2. Hard anchors

  1. FBI UCR Crime in the U.S. 2019 — Burglary — 55.7% forcible entry, 37.8% unlawful entry (no force), 6.5% attempted forcible; 62.8% of burglaries residential. https://ucr.fbi.gov/crime-in-the-u.s/2019/crime-in-the-u.s.-2019/topic-pages/burglary.pdf
  2. BJS — Victimization During Household Burglary — among forcible entries, doors and windows dominate damage/entry reports (doors ~73%, windows ~49% of households reporting that damage type — note multi-select); unlawful entry often via open/unlocked doors/windows. https://bjs.ojp.gov/content/pub/pdf/vdhb.pdf
  3. Kuhns et al., UNC Charlotte — Understanding Decisions to Burglarize… — survey of 422 incarcerated burglars: ~83% try to determine if alarm present; ~60% would seek alternative target if alarm present. PDF: https://siacinc.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Burglar-Survey-Study-Final-Report.pdf · overview: https://chess.charlotte.edu/2013/05/15/researcher-expands-knowledge-of-what-motivates-deters-burglars/

2b. Field 80/20 examples

Approx % claimField / contextSourceWhere
~37.8% burglaries = unlawful entry (no force)U.S. UCR burglaryFBI 2019Soft-entry bottleneck
Doors ~73% / windows ~49% of forcible-entry damage reports (multi-select)Household burglary victimizationBJS VDHBDoor/window bottlenecks
~60% would choose another target if alarm; ~83% check for alarmOffender perspectiveKuhns et al.Deterrent bottleneck
Illustrative walkthrough top-10Personal protocolIllustrativeOnly-on-8020

3. Original observation (only-on-8020)

15-minute home risk walkthrough → ranked top-10 bottleneck register (doors, first-floor openings, garage, occupancy tells, alarm state) — weekly attention on ranked list, not equal gadget shopping.

4. Ignored majority

Buying cameras for every closet before locking routines; obsessing over exotic second-floor scenarios; equal spend on every window while front door hardware is weak; “set and forget” systems never tested; social posting of vacation emptiness.

5. Composite policy

ScenarioKeep as Illustrative?
Top-10 walkthrough registerYes — Illustrative composite house

6. Vital few (bottleneck sections)

  1. Soft / unlocked entry
  2. Door approach & hardware
  3. First-floor windows & concealment
  4. Away-from-home occupancy signals
  5. Visible alarm / camera cues
  6. Garage & side access (shorter section)

7. Device budget

Warning sign / Action today each section; ≤1 8020 move; optional pareto viz; misreads not FAQ.

  1. FBI burglary PDF
  2. BJS VDHB PDF
  3. UNC Charlotte overview or SIAC PDF
  4. Internal: risk-management, insurance, home-organization

9. Sign-off

  • ☑ Brief complete
  • ☑ No invented “34% front door” without primary if contested — prefer FBI/BJS/Kuhns
  • ☑ Not a product endorsement; local law/crime varies